Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan, married since 1987, have shown no public signs of marital strain, with Peng continuing her visible role as first lady through recent diplomatic events including the September 2026 U.S. visit and SCO summit, where the couple appeared together and Xi was seen relying on her support. Chinese leadership norms tightly control personal information, treat family stability as essential to political image, and have no precedent for a top leader's divorce, which would trigger intense scrutiny and potential instability. Traders price the outcome at 99% No because verifiable developments show ongoing public partnership and institutional barriers, with Peng maintaining official engagements into October 2026. Rare shifts could still arise from undisclosed health crises or internal party dynamics before the 2027 cutoff, though these lack supporting evidence at present.