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Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

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Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

Jordan Bardella 28%

Édouard Philippe 15%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

Marine Le Pen 10%

Polymarket

$10,363,998 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 28%

Édouard Philippe 15%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

Marine Le Pen 10%

Polymarket

$10,363,998 Vol.

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Jordan Bardella

$380,518 Vol.

28%

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Édouard Philippe

$273,090 Vol.

15%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$167,884 Vol.

12%

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Marine Le Pen

$218,221 Vol.

10%

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Dominique de Villepin

$560,667 Vol.

6%

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Bruno Retailleau

$641,114 Vol.

5%

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Gabriel Attal

$569,117 Vol.

4%

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Sarah Knafo

$650,079 Vol.

3%

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Jean Castex

$228,687 Vol.

3%

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François Hollande

$236,429 Vol.

3%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$186,108 Vol.

2%

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David Lisnard

$485,453 Vol.

2%

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Fabien Roussel

$374,773 Vol.

2%

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Sébastien Lecornu

$421,914 Vol.

1%

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Gérald Darmanin

$190,228 Vol.

1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

$502,554 Vol.

1%

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Juan Branco

$176,246 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$132,286 Vol.

1%

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Éric Zemmour

$189,937 Vol.

1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$144,964 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$152,823 Vol.

<1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$195,514 Vol.

<1%

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Marine Tondelier

$122,166 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$371,102 Vol.

<1%

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François Asselineau

$234,307 Vol.

<1%

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Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$383,605 Vol.

<1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$202,982 Vol.

<1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$135,220 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$159,182 Vol.

<1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

$143,441 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$298,240 Vol.

<1%

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Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

$452,769 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$279,372 Vol.

<1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

$163,559 Vol.

<1%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

$233,660 Vol.

<1%

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Clémence Guetté

$105,788 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$10,363,998
Enddatum
Apr 30, 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jordan Bardella" at 28%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" has generated $10.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" is "Jordan Bardella" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.