Incumbent Republican Rep. Greg Murphy's uncontested primary victory on March 3 solidified his nomination against Democratic state Rep. Raymond Smith, who won his primary with 56.6% amid a Congressional Black Caucus endorsement, in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District. Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 84.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating by the Cook Political Report and a partisan lean where Donald Trump would carry it by 14 points under the new map enacted in late 2025. No recent polling shifts or scandals have altered this positioning, with the November 3 general election now the key date amid NC's midterm dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNC-03 Wahlsieger
NC-03 Wahlsieger
$12,806 Vol.
$12,806 Vol.
Republikanische Partei
85%
Demokratische Partei
13%
$12,806 Vol.
$12,806 Vol.
Republikanische Partei
85%
Demokratische Partei
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Greg Murphy's uncontested primary victory on March 3 solidified his nomination against Democratic state Rep. Raymond Smith, who won his primary with 56.6% amid a Congressional Black Caucus endorsement, in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District. Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 84.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's Solid Republican rating by the Cook Political Report and a partisan lean where Donald Trump would carry it by 14 points under the new map enacted in late 2025. No recent polling shifts or scandals have altered this positioning, with the November 3 general election now the key date amid NC's midterm dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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