Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 8th congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+7 and recent forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Traders assign the Republican Party a 76% implied probability because Stauber secured unanimous endorsement at the April party convention, maintains strong fundraising, and aligns with district priorities on mining and economic issues in the Iron Range. The Democratic primary concluded recently with Trina Swanson emerging as nominee from a crowded field, yet the absence of competitive public polling and the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles keep Democratic chances at 22.5%. With primaries set for August 11 and the general election on November 3, 2026, the market pricing reflects incumbency advantages and limited signs of a shift in voter sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMN-08 Wahlsieger
MN-08 Wahlsieger
$13,843 Vol.
$13,843 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
76%
Demokratische Partei
23%
$13,843 Vol.
$13,843 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$7,151 Vol.
76%
Demokratische Partei
$6,691 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 8th congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+7 and recent forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Traders assign the Republican Party a 76% implied probability because Stauber secured unanimous endorsement at the April party convention, maintains strong fundraising, and aligns with district priorities on mining and economic issues in the Iron Range. The Democratic primary concluded recently with Trina Swanson emerging as nominee from a crowded field, yet the absence of competitive public polling and the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles keep Democratic chances at 22.5%. With primaries set for August 11 and the general election on November 3, 2026, the market pricing reflects incumbency advantages and limited signs of a shift in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$13,843Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 8th congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+7 and recent forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Traders assign the Republican Party a 76% implied probability because Stauber secured unanimous endorsement at the April party convention, maintains strong fundraising, and aligns with district priorities on mining and economic issues in the Iron Range. The Democratic primary concluded recently with Trina Swanson emerging as nominee from a crowded field, yet the absence of competitive public polling and the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles keep Democratic chances at 22.5%. With primaries set for August 11 and the general election on November 3, 2026, the market pricing reflects incumbency advantages and limited signs of a shift in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,843Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 8th congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+7 and recent forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Traders assign the Republican Party a 76% implied probability because Stauber secured unanimous endorsement at the April party convention, maintains strong fundraising, and aligns with district priorities on mining and economic issues in the Iron Range. The Democratic primary concluded recently with Trina Swanson emerging as nominee from a crowded field, yet the absence of competitive public polling and the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles keep Democratic chances at 22.5%. With primaries set for August 11 and the general election on November 3, 2026, the market pricing reflects incumbency advantages and limited signs of a shift in voter sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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