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Politik·Midterms

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Maryland

Market icon
Politik·Midterms

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Maryland

$15,143 Vol.

Polymarket

$15,143 Vol.

Market icon

Demokrat

$6,585 Vol.

94%

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Republikaner

$8,558 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% reflects Maryland's deep-blue partisan lean—where Democrats hold supermajorities in the legislature and no Republican has won statewide since Larry Hogan's 2018 reelection—as he seeks a second term with minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest. Recent UMBC polling from March 17-22 shows Moore's approval slipping to 48%, the first sub-50% mark amid voter concerns over affordability, taxes, and budget shortfalls, yet hypothetical matchups still favor him over generic Republicans by 20+ points. A crowded GOP primary featuring businessman Ed Hale and former delegate Dan Cox offers no clear moderate frontrunner, reinforcing the race's Safe Democratic rating by forecasters. Realistic challenges include a major Moore scandal, GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee, or a national Republican wave, though structural barriers like incumbency and base turnout favor Democrats.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$15,143
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% reflects Maryland's deep-blue partisan lean—where Democrats hold supermajorities in the legislature and no Republican has won statewide since Larry Hogan's 2018 reelection—as he seeks a second term with minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest. Recent UMBC polling from March 17-22 shows Moore's approval slipping to 48%, the first sub-50% mark amid voter concerns over affordability, taxes, and budget shortfalls, yet hypothetical matchups still favor him over generic Republicans by 20+ points. A crowded GOP primary featuring businessman Ed Hale and former delegate Dan Cox offers no clear moderate frontrunner, reinforcing the race's Safe Democratic rating by forecasters. Realistic challenges include a major Moore scandal, GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee, or a national Republican wave, though structural barriers like incumbency and base turnout favor Democrats.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$15,143
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Maryland" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Demokrat" mit 94%, gefolgt von „Republikaner" mit 6%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 94¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 94% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Maryland" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $15.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Oct 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Maryland" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Maryland" ist „Demokrat" mit 94%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 94% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Republikaner" mit 6%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Maryland" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.