Indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain stalled despite a US 15-point proposal delivered March 25 demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, end all uranium enrichment, and hand over its approximately 450 kg stockpile of 60% highly enriched uranium to the IAEA or a third country. Oman's foreign minister claimed on February 28 that Iran agreed to zero future stockpiling during prior indirect talks, but Tehran has rejected transferring existing material abroad, echoing earlier statements. IAEA reports from mid-March highlight persistent access denials and verification gaps at sites like Isfahan. No public Iranian commitment to surrender the stockpile has materialized, with the market resolving March 31 based on any official announcement amid heightened diplomatic pressure and regional tensions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain stalled despite a US 15-point proposal delivered March 25 demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, end all uranium enrichment, and hand over its approximately 450 kg stockpile of 60% highly enriched uranium to the IAEA or a third country. Oman's foreign minister claimed on February 28 that Iran agreed to zero future stockpiling during prior indirect talks, but Tehran has rejected transferring existing material abroad, echoing earlier statements. IAEA reports from mid-March highlight persistent access denials and verification gaps at sites like Isfahan. No public Iranian commitment to surrender the stockpile has materialized, with the market resolving March 31 based on any official announcement amid heightened diplomatic pressure and regional tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volumen
$34,322Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain stalled despite a US 15-point proposal delivered March 25 demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, end all uranium enrichment, and hand over its approximately 450 kg stockpile of 60% highly enriched uranium to the IAEA or a third country. Oman's foreign minister claimed on February 28 that Iran agreed to zero future stockpiling during prior indirect talks, but Tehran has rejected transferring existing material abroad, echoing earlier statements. IAEA reports from mid-March highlight persistent access denials and verification gaps at sites like Isfahan. No public Iranian commitment to surrender the stockpile has materialized, with the market resolving March 31 based on any official announcement amid heightened diplomatic pressure and regional tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$34,322Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain stalled despite a US 15-point proposal delivered March 25 demanding Iran dismantle its nuclear program, end all uranium enrichment, and hand over its approximately 450 kg stockpile of 60% highly enriched uranium to the IAEA or a third country. Oman's foreign minister claimed on February 28 that Iran agreed to zero future stockpiling during prior indirect talks, but Tehran has rejected transferring existing material abroad, echoing earlier statements. IAEA reports from mid-March highlight persistent access denials and verification gaps at sites like Isfahan. No public Iranian commitment to surrender the stockpile has materialized, with the market resolving March 31 based on any official announcement amid heightened diplomatic pressure and regional tensions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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