Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) in June, reflecting optimism from the company's April tender offer that cemented a $210 billion valuation—the highest for any private firm—and successful Starship test flights demonstrating reusable rocket milestones essential for revenue growth via NASA contracts and Starlink expansion. Elon Musk's longstanding guidance against an IPO until reliable Mars missions (targeted post-2026) tempers enthusiasm, elevating "No IPO before 2027" to 10.5% and positioning July at 10.7%, amid no S-1 registration filing with the SEC. Traders watch for filing announcements or Musk updates as key catalysts, with regulatory review timelines typically spanning 4-6 weeks post-submission.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertIn welchem Monat wird SpaceX an die Börse gehen?
In welchem Monat wird SpaceX an die Börse gehen?
Juni 68%
Juli 10.5%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027 10.2%
April 6.4%
$107,424 Vol.
$107,424 Vol.
März
1%
April
6%
Mai
5%
Juni
60%
Juli
11%
August
3%
September
3%
Oktober
2%
November
5%
Dezember
1%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027
10%
Juni 68%
Juli 10.5%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027 10.2%
April 6.4%
$107,424 Vol.
$107,424 Vol.
März
1%
April
6%
Mai
5%
Juni
60%
Juli
11%
August
3%
September
3%
Oktober
2%
November
5%
Dezember
1%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027
10%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) in June, reflecting optimism from the company's April tender offer that cemented a $210 billion valuation—the highest for any private firm—and successful Starship test flights demonstrating reusable rocket milestones essential for revenue growth via NASA contracts and Starlink expansion. Elon Musk's longstanding guidance against an IPO until reliable Mars missions (targeted post-2026) tempers enthusiasm, elevating "No IPO before 2027" to 10.5% and positioning July at 10.7%, amid no S-1 registration filing with the SEC. Traders watch for filing announcements or Musk updates as key catalysts, with regulatory review timelines typically spanning 4-6 weeks post-submission.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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