Trader sentiment on Polymarket has coalesced around a 64.5% implied probability for a June SpaceX IPO, driven by reports over the past week that the company aims to submit its confidential IPO prospectus to the SEC imminently, aligning with a standard 6-8 week review for a mid-June pricing and listing. This positioning reflects aggregated capital bets on the rocket maker's robust fundamentals, including Starlink's subscriber growth and Starship launch successes, targeting a record $70-75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation—dwarfing prior private rounds. September (8.8%) and October (7.2%) trail as delay contingencies amid regulatory scrutiny, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.7% underscores crowd wisdom favoring near-term execution. Key catalysts include filing confirmation and public S-1 disclosure, potentially amid volatile equity markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertIn welchem Monat wird SpaceX an die Börse gehen?
In welchem Monat wird SpaceX an die Börse gehen?
Juni 65%
September 8.8%
Oktober 8.5%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027 6.7%
$155,429 Vol.
$155,429 Vol.
März
<1%
April
4%
Mai
5%
Juni
65%
Juli
5%
August
5%
September
9%
Oktober
9%
November
1%
Dezember
1%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027
7%
Juni 65%
September 8.8%
Oktober 8.5%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027 6.7%
$155,429 Vol.
$155,429 Vol.
März
<1%
April
4%
Mai
5%
Juni
65%
Juli
5%
August
5%
September
9%
Oktober
9%
November
1%
Dezember
1%
Kein Börsengang vor 2027
7%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket has coalesced around a 64.5% implied probability for a June SpaceX IPO, driven by reports over the past week that the company aims to submit its confidential IPO prospectus to the SEC imminently, aligning with a standard 6-8 week review for a mid-June pricing and listing. This positioning reflects aggregated capital bets on the rocket maker's robust fundamentals, including Starlink's subscriber growth and Starship launch successes, targeting a record $70-75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation—dwarfing prior private rounds. September (8.8%) and October (7.2%) trail as delay contingencies amid regulatory scrutiny, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.7% underscores crowd wisdom favoring near-term execution. Key catalysts include filing confirmation and public S-1 disclosure, potentially amid volatile equity markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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