Market icon

Wie viele Menschen wird Trump 2025 abschieben?

Market icon

Wie viele Menschen wird Trump 2025 abschieben?

250–500 Tsd. 100.0%

<250k <1%

500-750k <1%

750k-1M <1%

Polymarket

$12,394,195 Vol.

250–500 Tsd. 100.0%

<250k <1%

500-750k <1%

750k-1M <1%

Polymarket

$12,394,195 Vol.

<250k

$1,312,520 Vol.

Nein

250–500 Tsd.

$7,563,256 Vol.

Ja

500-750k

$580,037 Vol.

Nein

750k-1M

$566,696 Vol.

Nein

1-1,25 Mio.

$547,973 Vol.

Nein

1,25-1,5 Mio.

$500,985 Vol.

Nein

1,5–1,75 Mio.

$484,385 Vol.

Nein

1,75–2 Mio.

$419,524 Vol.

Nein

2 Mio.+

$418,819 Vol.

Nein

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volumen
$12,394,195
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Wie viele Menschen wird Trump 2025 abschieben?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "250–500 Tsd." at 100%, followed by "<250k" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wie viele Menschen wird Trump 2025 abschieben?" has generated $12.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wie viele Menschen wird Trump 2025 abschieben?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wie viele Menschen wird Trump 2025 abschieben?" is "250–500 Tsd." at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<250k" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wie viele Menschen wird Trump 2025 abschieben?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.