Trader consensus prices exactly three countries at 58% for Israeli strikes in March 2024, driven by confirmed airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, Iranian-linked sites in Syria, and a militia base in Iraq on March 24. These actions, amid escalating exchanges with Iran-backed groups, represent the primary verifiable military developments, with multiple Lebanon and Syria operations throughout the month solidifying the lead outcome. The 39.5% on four or more reflects lingering uncertainty over potential unreported strikes in Yemen—despite Houthi attacks on shipping—or elsewhere, though no such confirmations emerged before month-end. No major diplomatic de-escalation or additional targeting shifted odds in recent weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie viele verschiedene Länder wird Israel im März angreifen?
Wie viele verschiedene Länder wird Israel im März angreifen?
$263,122 Vol.
$263,122 Vol.
3
59%
≥4
40%
$263,122 Vol.
$263,122 Vol.
3
59%
≥4
40%
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 26, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices exactly three countries at 58% for Israeli strikes in March 2024, driven by confirmed airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, Iranian-linked sites in Syria, and a militia base in Iraq on March 24. These actions, amid escalating exchanges with Iran-backed groups, represent the primary verifiable military developments, with multiple Lebanon and Syria operations throughout the month solidifying the lead outcome. The 39.5% on four or more reflects lingering uncertainty over potential unreported strikes in Yemen—despite Houthi attacks on shipping—or elsewhere, though no such confirmations emerged before month-end. No major diplomatic de-escalation or additional targeting shifted odds in recent weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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