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How long will Trump and JD Vance shake hands at the 2026 State of the Union address?

Market icon

How long will Trump and JD Vance shake hands at the 2026 State of the Union address?

<2s 100.0%

No Handshake <1%

2–6s <1%

6–10s <1%

Polymarket

$31,088 Vol.

<2s 100.0%

No Handshake <1%

2–6s <1%

6–10s <1%

Polymarket

$31,088 Vol.

No Handshake

$2,612 Vol.

No

<2s

$7,492 Vol.

Yes

2–6s

$9,977 Vol.

No

6–10s

$4,737 Vol.

No

10–15s

$1,984 Vol.

No

15s+

$1,590 Vol.

No

Photographed only

$2,697 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and JD Vance during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address, currently scheduled for February 24, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of the 2026 State of the Union address, or if no such event takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and JD Vance during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address, currently scheduled for February 24, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.

If no handshake occurs during the date of the 2026 State of the Union address, or if no such event takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.

If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".

Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.

If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.

Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.

The resolution source will be video footage.
Volumen
$31,088
Enddatum
24. Feb. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 18, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and JD Vance during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address, currently scheduled for February 24, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of the 2026 State of the Union address, or if no such event takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and JD Vance during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address, currently scheduled for February 24, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of the 2026 State of the Union address, or if no such event takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and JD Vance during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address, currently scheduled for February 24, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.

If no handshake occurs during the date of the 2026 State of the Union address, or if no such event takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.

If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".

Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.

If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.

Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.

The resolution source will be video footage.
Volumen
$31,088
Enddatum
24. Feb. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 18, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and JD Vance during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address, currently scheduled for February 24, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of the 2026 State of the Union address, or if no such event takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„How long will Trump and JD Vance shake hands at the 2026 State of the Union address?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „<2s" mit 100%, gefolgt von „No Handshake" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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