Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting Munich's April 5 high temperature near 21°C, driven by a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and above-normal warmth following cooler early April conditions around 7–13°C. The tight race between 21°C (22%) and 22°C (22%) stems from model spread: ECMWF runs cluster slightly lower amid partial cloud cover risks (20–80% precip chance per sources like DWD-linked outlooks), while GFS hints at higher peaks with better insolation. Lower odds for 19–20°C (32.5% combined) account for climatological baselines (~13°C average), with new DWD advisories and April 3–4 observations expected to sharpen resolution before the afternoon maximum at the official station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
22°C 25%
21°C 22%
19°C 17%
20°C 16%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
17%
20°C
16%
21°C
22%
22°C
25%
23°C
14%
24°C or higher
6%
22°C 25%
21°C 22%
19°C 17%
20°C 16%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
17%
20°C
16%
21°C
22%
22°C
25%
23°C
14%
24°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting Munich's April 5 high temperature near 21°C, driven by a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and above-normal warmth following cooler early April conditions around 7–13°C. The tight race between 21°C (22%) and 22°C (22%) stems from model spread: ECMWF runs cluster slightly lower amid partial cloud cover risks (20–80% precip chance per sources like DWD-linked outlooks), while GFS hints at higher peaks with better insolation. Lower odds for 19–20°C (32.5% combined) account for climatological baselines (~13°C average), with new DWD advisories and April 3–4 observations expected to sharpen resolution before the afternoon maximum at the official station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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