Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43.5% probability for an 18°C high temperature in Milan on March 30 at Milano Malpensa Airport, driven by converging short-range forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. This system delivers clear skies, ample insolation, and mild southerly winds, sustaining above-average warmth following yesterday's confirmed 18°C peak. High-level clouds noted in recent ECMWF runs could cap temperatures 1-2°C lower than warmer GFS projections near 20°C, explaining the tight race with 19°C (25.5%) and 17°C (24.5%). Real-time observations from official stations will refine odds as the day unfolds, with peak heating expected midday under light winds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on March 30?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 30?
18°C 43%
17°C 25%
19°C 23%
16°C 10.5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
11%
17°C
25%
18°C
43%
19°C
23%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 43%
17°C 25%
19°C 23%
16°C 10.5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
11%
17°C
25%
18°C
43%
19°C
23%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 43.5% probability for an 18°C high temperature in Milan on March 30 at Milano Malpensa Airport, driven by converging short-range forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. This system delivers clear skies, ample insolation, and mild southerly winds, sustaining above-average warmth following yesterday's confirmed 18°C peak. High-level clouds noted in recent ECMWF runs could cap temperatures 1-2°C lower than warmer GFS projections near 20°C, explaining the tight race with 19°C (25.5%) and 17°C (24.5%). Real-time observations from official stations will refine odds as the day unfolds, with peak heating expected midday under light winds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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