With ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS diverging on April 3 conditions over Milan, trader sentiment remains evenly split across outcomes from 13°C or below to 23°C or higher, reflecting inherent short-range uncertainty typical of early spring in the Po Valley. Latest Italian model runs, like MeteoLive, project a daytime high near 18°C under scattered clouds following a recent cold front and strong winds on March 26 that moderated temperatures to 11-16°C; however, potential persistence of northerly flows or development of an Azores high-pressure ridge could swing maxima by 5°C either way. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and surface pressure gradients, with daily model updates through March 31 expected to sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official Milano Linate observations. Historical April 3 averages hover at 16-17°C, underscoring the balanced market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
19°C 21%
22°C 18%
20°C 18%
21°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
13%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C
21%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C or higher
11%
19°C 21%
22°C 18%
20°C 18%
21°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
13°C or below
$132 Vol.
1%
14°C
$135 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$0 Vol.
17%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS diverging on April 3 conditions over Milan, trader sentiment remains evenly split across outcomes from 13°C or below to 23°C or higher, reflecting inherent short-range uncertainty typical of early spring in the Po Valley. Latest Italian model runs, like MeteoLive, project a daytime high near 18°C under scattered clouds following a recent cold front and strong winds on March 26 that moderated temperatures to 11-16°C; however, potential persistence of northerly flows or development of an Azores high-pressure ridge could swing maxima by 5°C either way. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and surface pressure gradients, with daily model updates through March 31 expected to sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official Milano Linate observations. Historical April 3 averages hover at 16-17°C, underscoring the balanced market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS diverging on April 3 conditions over Milan, trader sentiment remains evenly split across outcomes from 13°C or below to 23°C or higher, reflecting inherent short-range uncertainty typical of early spring in the Po Valley. Latest Italian model runs, like MeteoLive, project a daytime high near 18°C under scattered clouds following a recent cold front and strong winds on March 26 that moderated temperatures to 11-16°C; however, potential persistence of northerly flows or development of an Azores high-pressure ridge could swing maxima by 5°C either way. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and surface pressure gradients, with daily model updates through March 31 expected to sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official Milano Linate observations. Historical April 3 averages hover at 16-17°C, underscoring the balanced market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...With ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS diverging on April 3 conditions over Milan, trader sentiment remains evenly split across outcomes from 13°C or below to 23°C or higher, reflecting inherent short-range uncertainty typical of early spring in the Po Valley. Latest Italian model runs, like MeteoLive, project a daytime high near 18°C under scattered clouds following a recent cold front and strong winds on March 26 that moderated temperatures to 11-16°C; however, potential persistence of northerly flows or development of an Azores high-pressure ridge could swing maxima by 5°C either way. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and surface pressure gradients, with daily model updates through March 31 expected to sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution via official Milano Linate observations. Historical April 3 averages hover at 16-17°C, underscoring the balanced market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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