Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 12–13°C for London's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Met Office forecast showing sunny intervals with daytime highs reaching 13°C amid gusts up to 37 mph and a 40% early rain risk that could suppress peaks. BBC Weather aligns closely at 14°C maximum under similar moderate breeze conditions, while feels-like temperatures near 10°C highlight wind chill's cooling effect. Key differentiators include variability in cloud cover from passing fronts and shower timing, with ensemble models exhibiting a narrow spread amid unsettled Easter weekend patterns; historical April averages of 13°C provide baseline context. New forecast updates from Met Office overnight runs could refine this ahead of resolution at official stations like Heathrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in London on April 5?
Highest temperature in London on April 5?
13°C 35%
12°C 29%
14°C 17%
15°C 13%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
8%
12°C
29%
13°C
35%
14°C
17%
15°C
13%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 35%
12°C 29%
14°C 17%
15°C 13%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
8%
12°C
29%
13°C
35%
14°C
17%
15°C
13%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 12–13°C for London's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest Met Office forecast showing sunny intervals with daytime highs reaching 13°C amid gusts up to 37 mph and a 40% early rain risk that could suppress peaks. BBC Weather aligns closely at 14°C maximum under similar moderate breeze conditions, while feels-like temperatures near 10°C highlight wind chill's cooling effect. Key differentiators include variability in cloud cover from passing fronts and shower timing, with ensemble models exhibiting a narrow spread amid unsettled Easter weekend patterns; historical April averages of 13°C provide baseline context. New forecast updates from Met Office overnight runs could refine this ahead of resolution at official stations like Heathrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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