Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 3, with ensemble guidance from global models like ECMWF and GFS centering implied probabilities around 22–24°C amid clustered odds. This stems from a recent warm spell in late March—highs nearing 26°C on March 30 per China Meteorological Administration observations—potentially persisting under a high-pressure ridge, but offset by risks of increased cloudiness and showers typical of early April's transitional spring patterns in the Yangtze River basin. Historical 30-year averages show early April highs of 21–23°C, with variability driven by jet stream positioning and frontal passages; daily CMA updates through April 2 could refine model consensus on convective activity and diel heating limits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
22°C 22%
28°C or higher 21%
23°C 19%
21°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
19%
22°C
22%
23°C
19%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
18%
27°C
18%
28°C or higher
21%
22°C 22%
28°C or higher 21%
23°C 19%
21°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C
$40 Vol.
7%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
17%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 3, with ensemble guidance from global models like ECMWF and GFS centering implied probabilities around 22–24°C amid clustered odds. This stems from a recent warm spell in late March—highs nearing 26°C on March 30 per China Meteorological Administration observations—potentially persisting under a high-pressure ridge, but offset by risks of increased cloudiness and showers typical of early April's transitional spring patterns in the Yangtze River basin. Historical 30-year averages show early April highs of 21–23°C, with variability driven by jet stream positioning and frontal passages; daily CMA updates through April 2 could refine model consensus on convective activity and diel heating limits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Volumen
$45Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 3, with ensemble guidance from global models like ECMWF and GFS centering implied probabilities around 22–24°C amid clustered odds. This stems from a recent warm spell in late March—highs nearing 26°C on March 30 per China Meteorological Administration observations—potentially persisting under a high-pressure ridge, but offset by risks of increased cloudiness and showers typical of early April's transitional spring patterns in the Yangtze River basin. Historical 30-year averages show early April highs of 21–23°C, with variability driven by jet stream positioning and frontal passages; daily CMA updates through April 2 could refine model consensus on convective activity and diel heating limits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$45Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 3, with ensemble guidance from global models like ECMWF and GFS centering implied probabilities around 22–24°C amid clustered odds. This stems from a recent warm spell in late March—highs nearing 26°C on March 30 per China Meteorological Administration observations—potentially persisting under a high-pressure ridge, but offset by risks of increased cloudiness and showers typical of early April's transitional spring patterns in the Yangtze River basin. Historical 30-year averages show early April highs of 21–23°C, with variability driven by jet stream positioning and frontal passages; daily CMA updates through April 2 could refine model consensus on convective activity and diel heating limits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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