Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 17–21°C as divergent model outputs show a 17°C high under moderate rain per EaseWeather guidance versus 20°C in drier scenarios from other ensembles. This stems from March 2026's cooler-than-average conditions (16.3°C mean, -2.4°C anomaly) featuring persistent cloud cover and rainfall from frontal systems in the Yangtze basin, suppressing diurnal heating into early spring. Key differentiators include precipitation probability (7.4 mm forecast, limiting solar insolation) versus potential clearing allowing typical April early highs near 21°C historical baseline; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?
21°C or higher 24%
19°C 23%
17°C 23%
18°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
10%
16°C
16%
17°C
23%
18°C
22%
19°C
23%
20°C
21%
21°C or higher
24%
21°C or higher 24%
19°C 23%
17°C 23%
18°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
11°C or below
$395 Vol.
1%
12°C
$198 Vol.
1%
13°C
$244 Vol.
1%
14°C
$351 Vol.
3%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
16%
17°C
$0 Vol.
23%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$11 Vol.
23%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 17–21°C as divergent model outputs show a 17°C high under moderate rain per EaseWeather guidance versus 20°C in drier scenarios from other ensembles. This stems from March 2026's cooler-than-average conditions (16.3°C mean, -2.4°C anomaly) featuring persistent cloud cover and rainfall from frontal systems in the Yangtze basin, suppressing diurnal heating into early spring. Key differentiators include precipitation probability (7.4 mm forecast, limiting solar insolation) versus potential clearing allowing typical April early highs near 21°C historical baseline; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volumen
$1,199Enddatum
Apr 2, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 17–21°C as divergent model outputs show a 17°C high under moderate rain per EaseWeather guidance versus 20°C in drier scenarios from other ensembles. This stems from March 2026's cooler-than-average conditions (16.3°C mean, -2.4°C anomaly) featuring persistent cloud cover and rainfall from frontal systems in the Yangtze basin, suppressing diurnal heating into early spring. Key differentiators include precipitation probability (7.4 mm forecast, limiting solar insolation) versus potential clearing allowing typical April early highs near 21°C historical baseline; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,199Enddatum
Apr 2, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 17–21°C as divergent model outputs show a 17°C high under moderate rain per EaseWeather guidance versus 20°C in drier scenarios from other ensembles. This stems from March 2026's cooler-than-average conditions (16.3°C mean, -2.4°C anomaly) featuring persistent cloud cover and rainfall from frontal systems in the Yangtze basin, suppressing diurnal heating into early spring. Key differentiators include precipitation probability (7.4 mm forecast, limiting solar insolation) versus potential clearing allowing typical April early highs near 21°C historical baseline; watch China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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