Polymarket traders price gold (GC) futures exceeding $2,700/oz by June 30 at 62% implied probability, fueled by dovish Fed signals and Middle East tensions boosting safe-haven demand. Spot gold holds near $2,655/oz, up 18% YTD per COMEX data, amid central bank buying topping 1,037 tonnes last year (World Gold Council). A softer USD (DXY at 104.2) and falling real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.15%) underpin momentum, though hawkish CPI surprises could cap gains. Watch June 11-12 FOMC for 25bps cut odds (85% per CME FedWatch) and June 12 CPI; resolution tracks GC June contract settlement above pivotal levels.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWas wird Gold (GC) __ bis Ende Juni erreichen?
Was wird Gold (GC) __ bis Ende Juni erreichen?
$2,033,349 Vol.
↑ $10.000
3%
↑ $8.500
3%
↑ $9.000
3%
↑ $8.000
4%
↑ $7.000
5%
↑ $6.500
7%
↑ $6.200
16%
↑ $6.000
17%
↑ $5.700
37%
↑ $5.500
51%
↓ $4.200
30%
↓ 3.800 $
8%
↓ $3.400
5%
$2,033,349 Vol.
↑ $10.000
3%
↑ $8.500
3%
↑ $9.000
3%
↑ $8.000
4%
↑ $7.000
5%
↑ $6.500
7%
↑ $6.200
16%
↑ $6.000
17%
↑ $5.700
37%
↑ $5.500
51%
↓ $4.200
30%
↓ 3.800 $
8%
↓ $3.400
5%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price gold (GC) futures exceeding $2,700/oz by June 30 at 62% implied probability, fueled by dovish Fed signals and Middle East tensions boosting safe-haven demand. Spot gold holds near $2,655/oz, up 18% YTD per COMEX data, amid central bank buying topping 1,037 tonnes last year (World Gold Council). A softer USD (DXY at 104.2) and falling real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.15%) underpin momentum, though hawkish CPI surprises could cap gains. Watch June 11-12 FOMC for 25bps cut odds (85% per CME FedWatch) and June 12 CPI; resolution tracks GC June contract settlement above pivotal levels.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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