Trader consensus on Polymarket for Elon Musk's X posts in April 2026 shows closely matched frontrunners in the 1280-1479 range, implying 11-12% probabilities each and reflecting his established posting cadence of 35-45 tweets daily, as seen in March's near-1300 total amid steady high-volume activity. The tight competition stems from volatile daily swings—recent end-March averages dipped to ~21 amid lighter news cycles, contrasting mid-month peaks fueled by Grok Imagine launches and multilingual timeline upgrades boosting viral engagement. Key differentiators include potential surges from early-month SpaceX Starship tests and late-April Tesla Q1 earnings, alongside unpredictable political commentary or meme-worthy moments that could push totals higher in this inherently fluid social media landscape.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert1400-1439 11.2%
1320-1359 9.5%
1280-1319 9.3%
1360-1399 9.2%
$4,415,026 Vol.
$4,415,026 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340–359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460–479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500–519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580–599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
<1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
1%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
7%
1200-1239
7%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
9%
1320-1359
10%
1360-1399
9%
1400-1439
11%
1440-1479
8%
1480-1519
7%
1520-1559
6%
1560-1599
6%
1600-1679
2%
1680–1759
2%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
4%
1920-1999
1%
2000+
1%
1400-1439 11.2%
1320-1359 9.5%
1280-1319 9.3%
1360-1399 9.2%
$4,415,026 Vol.
$4,415,026 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340–359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460–479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500–519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580–599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
<1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
1%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
7%
1200-1239
7%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
9%
1320-1359
10%
1360-1399
9%
1400-1439
11%
1440-1479
8%
1480-1519
7%
1520-1559
6%
1560-1599
6%
1600-1679
2%
1680–1759
2%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
4%
1920-1999
1%
2000+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket for Elon Musk's X posts in April 2026 shows closely matched frontrunners in the 1280-1479 range, implying 11-12% probabilities each and reflecting his established posting cadence of 35-45 tweets daily, as seen in March's near-1300 total amid steady high-volume activity. The tight competition stems from volatile daily swings—recent end-March averages dipped to ~21 amid lighter news cycles, contrasting mid-month peaks fueled by Grok Imagine launches and multilingual timeline upgrades boosting viral engagement. Key differentiators include potential surges from early-month SpaceX Starship tests and late-April Tesla Q1 earnings, alongside unpredictable political commentary or meme-worthy moments that could push totals higher in this inherently fluid social media landscape.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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