WTI crude oil (CL) futures hover around $77 per barrel, reflecting trader consensus on ample supply outpacing demand amid China's sluggish economic recovery and building U.S. inventories, as shown in the latest EIA report revealing a 4.2 million barrel build exceeding forecasts. Backwardation in the futures curve signals near-term tightness from summer driving season, yet macroeconomic headwinds like persistent high interest rates and a strong U.S. dollar cap upside potential. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East offer tail-risk support, while the June 26 EIA inventory data and Federal Reserve's policy signals could sway sentiment before month-end resolution. Prediction markets price in balanced risks, with traders monitoring global demand indicators for breakout catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
Wird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
$2,523,204 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
24%
↑ $140
27%
↑ $130
39%
↑ $120
50%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
66%
↑ $100
81%
↓ $85
82%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
20%
↓ $55
14%
↓ 52 $
12%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ 40 $
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,523,204 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
24%
↑ $140
27%
↑ $130
39%
↑ $120
50%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
66%
↑ $100
81%
↓ $85
82%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
20%
↓ $55
14%
↓ 52 $
12%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ 40 $
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
WTI crude oil (CL) futures hover around $77 per barrel, reflecting trader consensus on ample supply outpacing demand amid China's sluggish economic recovery and building U.S. inventories, as shown in the latest EIA report revealing a 4.2 million barrel build exceeding forecasts. Backwardation in the futures curve signals near-term tightness from summer driving season, yet macroeconomic headwinds like persistent high interest rates and a strong U.S. dollar cap upside potential. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East offer tail-risk support, while the June 26 EIA inventory data and Federal Reserve's policy signals could sway sentiment before month-end resolution. Prediction markets price in balanced risks, with traders monitoring global demand indicators for breakout catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen