Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts bearish for Crude Oil (CL) surpassing key resistance levels by June's end, with market-implied odds reflecting roughly 40% probability amid softening demand signals. WTI futures hover near $81/bbl, down 5% monthly on ample U.S. inventories—EIA data showed a 1.2MM barrel build last week—and China's tepid economic rebound curbing consumption. Bullish catalysts include escalating Middle East tensions and potential OPEC+ production tweaks, but trader consensus weighs recession fears and peak U.S. drilling activity higher. Watch Thursday's EIA storage report and June 27 API previews for volatility; breaching $85 could flip odds toward 60% if supplies tighten unexpectedly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
Wird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
$2,431,724 Vol.
↑ $200
13%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
60%
↑ $100
62%
↓ $85
85%
↓ $80
71%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
23%
↓ $55
19%
↓ 52 $
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ 40 $
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,431,724 Vol.
↑ $200
13%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
60%
↑ $100
62%
↓ $85
85%
↓ $80
71%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
23%
↓ $55
19%
↓ 52 $
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ 40 $
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts bearish for Crude Oil (CL) surpassing key resistance levels by June's end, with market-implied odds reflecting roughly 40% probability amid softening demand signals. WTI futures hover near $81/bbl, down 5% monthly on ample U.S. inventories—EIA data showed a 1.2MM barrel build last week—and China's tepid economic rebound curbing consumption. Bullish catalysts include escalating Middle East tensions and potential OPEC+ production tweaks, but trader consensus weighs recession fears and peak U.S. drilling activity higher. Watch Thursday's EIA storage report and June 27 API previews for volatility; breaching $85 could flip odds toward 60% if supplies tighten unexpectedly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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