Republican Tom McClintock holds the CA-05 seat in a district with an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent McClintock faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates with limited fundraising and recruitment. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 83% Republican implied probability. The November general election timeline and absence of major late developments keep the outcome stable absent an unexpected primary upset or broader national shift.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCA-05 Wahlsieger
CA-05 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
83%
Demokratische Partei
17%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$3,891 Vol.
83%
Demokratische Partei
$1,493 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Tom McClintock holds the CA-05 seat in a district with an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent McClintock faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates with limited fundraising and recruitment. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 83% Republican implied probability. The November general election timeline and absence of major late developments keep the outcome stable absent an unexpected primary upset or broader national shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$5,384Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Tom McClintock holds the CA-05 seat in a district with an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent McClintock faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates with limited fundraising and recruitment. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 83% Republican implied probability. The November general election timeline and absence of major late developments keep the outcome stable absent an unexpected primary upset or broader national shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$5,384Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Tom McClintock holds the CA-05 seat in a district with an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent McClintock faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates with limited fundraising and recruitment. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 83% Republican implied probability. The November general election timeline and absence of major late developments keep the outcome stable absent an unexpected primary upset or broader national shift.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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