Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 64.5% to retain Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Eli Crane's strong position after his 54.5% 2024 victory. Crane holds a commanding fundraising edge with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025, compared to Democratic primary contender Jonathan Nez's $649,000, despite Nez's February designation to the DCCC's Red to Blue program signaling national Democratic investment. Recent GOP leadership transfers of nearly $1.6 million to Crane and another Arizona incumbent highlight defensive priorities ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and July 21 primaries, where no public polls yet indicate a shift in this Likely Republican-rated race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertAZ-02 Wahlsieger
AZ-02 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republikanische Partei
65%
Demokratische Partei
36%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
65%
Demokratische Partei
$165 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 64.5% to retain Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Eli Crane's strong position after his 54.5% 2024 victory. Crane holds a commanding fundraising edge with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025, compared to Democratic primary contender Jonathan Nez's $649,000, despite Nez's February designation to the DCCC's Red to Blue program signaling national Democratic investment. Recent GOP leadership transfers of nearly $1.6 million to Crane and another Arizona incumbent highlight defensive priorities ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and July 21 primaries, where no public polls yet indicate a shift in this Likely Republican-rated race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volumen
$165Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 64.5% to retain Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Eli Crane's strong position after his 54.5% 2024 victory. Crane holds a commanding fundraising edge with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025, compared to Democratic primary contender Jonathan Nez's $649,000, despite Nez's February designation to the DCCC's Red to Blue program signaling national Democratic investment. Recent GOP leadership transfers of nearly $1.6 million to Crane and another Arizona incumbent highlight defensive priorities ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and July 21 primaries, where no public polls yet indicate a shift in this Likely Republican-rated race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$165Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 64.5% to retain Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Eli Crane's strong position after his 54.5% 2024 victory. Crane holds a commanding fundraising edge with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late 2025, compared to Democratic primary contender Jonathan Nez's $649,000, despite Nez's February designation to the DCCC's Red to Blue program signaling national Democratic investment. Recent GOP leadership transfers of nearly $1.6 million to Crane and another Arizona incumbent highlight defensive priorities ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and July 21 primaries, where no public polls yet indicate a shift in this Likely Republican-rated race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen