Ein weiterer Shutdown der US-Regierung und Hausgewinner 2026?
Shutdown & Demokratische Partei 79.6%
Shutdown & Republikanische Partei 18.6%
Kein Shutdown & Republikanische Partei <1%
Kein Shutdown & Demokratische Partei <1%
$184,283 Umsatz
$184,283 Umsatz
Nov 3, 2026
Shutdown & Demokratische Partei
$36,839 Umsatz
80%
Shutdown & Demokratische Partei
$36,839 Umsatz
80%
Shutdown & Republikanische Partei
$42,684 Umsatz
19%
Shutdown & Republikanische Partei
$42,684 Umsatz
19%
Kein Shutdown & Republikanische Partei
$43,337 Umsatz
1%
Kein Shutdown & Republikanische Partei
$43,337 Umsatz
1%
Kein Shutdown & Demokratische Partei
$61,422 Umsatz
<1%
Kein Shutdown & Demokratische Partei
$61,422 Umsatz
<1%
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).
The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
This market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
2. Which party will win the House in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).
The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
This market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
2. Which party will win the House in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
1. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?
This market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
2. Which party will win the House in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Erstellt am: Dec 9, 2025, 1:44 PM ET
Volumen
$184,283Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Erstellt am
Dec 9, 2025, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ein weiterer Shutdown der US-Regierung und Hausgewinner 2026?
Shutdown & Demokratische Partei 79.6%
Shutdown & Republikanische Partei 18.6%
Kein Shutdown & Republikanische Partei <1%
Kein Shutdown & Demokratische Partei <1%
$184,283 Umsatz
$184,283 Umsatz
Nov 3, 2026
Shutdown & Demokratische Partei
$36,839 Umsatz
80%
Shutdown & Republikanische Partei
$42,684 Umsatz
19%
Kein Shutdown & Republikanische Partei
$43,337 Umsatz
1%
Kein Shutdown & Demokratische Partei
$61,422 Umsatz
<1%
Über
Volumen
$184,283Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Erstellt am
Dec 9, 2025, 1:44 PM ETResolver
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