**Mike Johnson’s position as House Speaker faces its primary test in the November 2026 midterms, with forecasts showing Democrats favored to regain the majority.** A Democratic takeover would automatically end Johnson’s speakership, as the role is filled by the majority party after the election. Recent polling averages reflect this pressure, while Johnson has publicly expressed confidence in retaining the GOP edge and continuing as speaker yet acknowledged uncertainty about his future if Republicans lose, including a possible exit from Congress. Internal GOP discussions have floated alternative leaders should major losses occur, though Johnson retains the gavel for now amid a narrow majority. The House remains in recess until after the election, leaving the outcome dependent on voter results and any subsequent leadership contest within the Republican conference.