Despite Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress and President Trump's stated support for voter eligibility reforms, the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) faces steep hurdles to enactment in 2026, reflected in traders' 89% implied probability of no signature. The House passed the bill in April 2025 by a wide margin, mandating proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, but it has languished in the Senate amid Democratic filibuster threats requiring 60 votes to overcome. Recent Senate inaction, coupled with competing priorities like budget reconciliation and foreign aid packages, reinforces trader consensus on gridlock, even as GOP leaders urge action ahead of midterm elections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$124,455 Vol.
$124,455 Vol.
Ja
$124,455 Vol.
$124,455 Vol.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Despite Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress and President Trump's stated support for voter eligibility reforms, the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) faces steep hurdles to enactment in 2026, reflected in traders' 89% implied probability of no signature. The House passed the bill in April 2025 by a wide margin, mandating proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, but it has languished in the Senate amid Democratic filibuster threats requiring 60 votes to overcome. Recent Senate inaction, coupled with competing priorities like budget reconciliation and foreign aid packages, reinforces trader consensus on gridlock, even as GOP leaders urge action ahead of midterm elections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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