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50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?

Market icon

50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?

99% Chance
Polymarket

$29,916 Vol.

99% Chance
Polymarket

$29,916 Vol.

On July 10, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 50% tariff to all copper imports beginning August 1 (see: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-10/trump-says-50-tariff-on-copper-imports-to-take-effect-august-1). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item or country specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting copper will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

On July 10, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 50% tariff to all copper imports beginning August 1 (see: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-10/trump-says-50-tariff-on-copper-imports-to-take-effect-august-1).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff that includes item or country specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting copper will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$29,916
Enddatum
1. Aug. 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
On July 10, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 50% tariff to all copper imports beginning August 1 (see: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-10/trump-says-50-tariff-on-copper-imports-to-take-effect-august-1). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item or country specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting copper will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

On July 10, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 50% tariff to all copper imports beginning August 1 (see: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-10/trump-says-50-tariff-on-copper-imports-to-take-effect-august-1). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item or country specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting copper will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

On July 10, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 50% tariff to all copper imports beginning August 1 (see: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-10/trump-says-50-tariff-on-copper-imports-to-take-effect-august-1).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff that includes item or country specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting copper will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$29,916
Enddatum
1. Aug. 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
On July 10, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 50% tariff to all copper imports beginning August 1 (see: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-10/trump-says-50-tariff-on-copper-imports-to-take-effect-august-1). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item or country specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on copper imports into the United States goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting copper will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 100¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 100%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $29.9K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 11, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?" liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.