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Politik·Derivate

5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?

Market icon
Politik·Derivate

5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?

Ended: Feb. 3

März 14

Ended: Feb. 3

März 14

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$53,938 Vol.

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$53,938 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Volumen
$53,938
Enddatum
3. Feb. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 2, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Volumen
$53,938
Enddatum
3. Feb. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 2, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 0% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 0¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 0%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $53.9K generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 2, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?" liegt bei 0% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 0% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.