LeopoldArschenbrenner

Joined Mar 2026·226 views

situationally aware

$59.9K

Positions Value

$1,117.60

Biggest Win

Predictions

Total PnL: +$1,367.70
Total Volume: 701.3K

Profit/Loss

-$115.93

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 54¢

19,973.3 shares

54¢

38.5¢

$7,689.72-$3,095.84 (-28.7%)

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 54¢

19,973.3 shares

$7,689.72-$3,095.84 (-28.7%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

No 36¢

14,101.5 shares

36¢

39.5¢

$5,570.09$493.57 (9.72%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

No 36¢

14,101.5 shares

$5,570.09$493.57 (9.72%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 7.8¢

33,698.5 shares

7.8¢

15.5¢

$5,206.42$2,569.61 (97.45%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 7.8¢

33,698.5 shares

$5,206.42$2,569.61 (97.45%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 20.7¢

22,872.5 shares

20.7¢

15.6¢

$3,568.10-$1,164.90 (-24.61%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 20.7¢

22,872.5 shares

$3,568.10-$1,164.90 (-24.61%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 4.8¢

38,186.7 shares

4.8¢

8.8¢

$3,341.34$1,505.49 (82.01%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 4.8¢

38,186.7 shares

$3,341.34$1,505.49 (82.01%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.4¢

27,581.9 shares

2.4¢

11.6¢

$3,185.71$2,531.11 (386.66%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.4¢

27,581.9 shares

$3,185.71$2,531.11 (386.66%)

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 59.6¢

3,051.7 shares

59.6¢

91.5¢

$2,792.27$973.57 (53.53%)

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 59.6¢

3,051.7 shares

$2,792.27$973.57 (53.53%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.3¢

34,483.7 shares

3.3¢

7.6¢

$2,638.00$1,515.39 (134.99%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.3¢

34,483.7 shares

$2,638.00$1,515.39 (134.99%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 48.3¢

5,225.7 shares

48.3¢

37.5¢

$1,959.65-$562.12 (-22.29%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 48.3¢

5,225.7 shares

$1,959.65-$562.12 (-22.29%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

No 43.6¢

4,722.6 shares

43.6¢

38.5¢

$1,818.20-$240.67 (-11.69%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

No 43.6¢

4,722.6 shares

$1,818.20-$240.67 (-11.69%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50.8¢

3,333.0 shares

50.8¢

49.3¢

$1,641.50-$51.66 (-3.05%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50.8¢

3,333.0 shares

$1,641.50-$51.66 (-3.05%)

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Yes 14.5¢

21,525.6 shares

14.5¢

7.5¢

$1,614.42-$1,507.71 (-48.29%)

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Yes 14.5¢

21,525.6 shares

$1,614.42-$1,507.71 (-48.29%)

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

No 54.7¢

1,665.0 shares

54.7¢

89¢

$1,481.85$571.65 (62.81%)

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

No 54.7¢

1,665.0 shares

$1,481.85$571.65 (62.81%)

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 62.9¢

1,504.3 shares

62.9¢

95.3¢

$1,433.57$486.84 (51.42%)

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 62.9¢

1,504.3 shares

$1,433.57$486.84 (51.42%)

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.3¢

46,349.9 shares

1.3¢

2.8¢

$1,274.62$673.93 (112.19%)

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.3¢

46,349.9 shares

$1,274.62$673.93 (112.19%)

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Yes 30.4¢

4,825.7 shares

30.4¢

21¢

$1,013.41-$452.21 (-30.85%)

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Yes 30.4¢

4,825.7 shares

$1,013.41-$452.21 (-30.85%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.3¢

31,904.9 shares

1.3¢

2.9¢

$941.20$516.00 (121.36%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.3¢

31,904.9 shares

$941.20$516.00 (121.36%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.7¢

4,130.0 shares

0.7¢

20.8¢

$856.98$828.78 (2,938.96%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.7¢

4,130.0 shares

$856.98$828.78 (2,938.96%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.7¢

20,794.9 shares

0.7¢

4.1¢

$842.19$694.74 (471.15%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.7¢

20,794.9 shares

$842.19$694.74 (471.15%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 24.5¢

11,110.0 shares

24.5¢

7.5¢

$833.25-$1,888.74 (-69.39%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 24.5¢

11,110.0 shares

$833.25-$1,888.74 (-69.39%)