Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
35.4¢
43¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
61.4¢
62.5¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
84¢
85.5¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
86¢
91.5¢

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4.1¢
5.1¢

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
34.4¢
42.5¢

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4.7¢
4.9¢

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
52.5¢
59.5¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22.4¢
25.5¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
71¢
87¢

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1.9¢
2.5¢

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12.5¢
13.1¢

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
54.5¢
41.5¢

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
84¢
85.5¢

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
32¢
38¢

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
17¢
18¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
82¢
85.5¢

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

