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Arbguy

Joined Jul 2024·28.4K views

betmoar-88600

$405.1K

Positions Value

$448.9K

Biggest Win

977

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$1,792.36
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81.6¢
105,003.8 shares
$80,590.41-$5,108.54 (-5.96%)
icon for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

No 73.8¢
60,000.0 shares
$56,100.00$11,800.02 (26.64%)
icon for Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 48.2¢
57,485.7 shares
$31,904.55$4,201.51 (15.17%)
icon for Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 22.6¢
155,444.6 shares
$31,866.14-$3,210.40 (-9.15%)
icon for Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 82.6¢
35,402.4 shares
$30,623.10$1,370.92 (4.69%)
icon for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 86.8¢
27,153.4 shares
$25,890.77$2,327.62 (9.88%)
icon for Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3¢
892,945.2 shares
$20,984.21$9,045.53 (75.77%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

No 69.3¢
43,084.0 shares
$17,449.00-$12,428.86 (-41.6%)
icon for Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83¢
19,565.1 shares
$16,728.14$497.34 (3.06%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

No 89.3¢
35,583.2 shares
$15,105.07-$16,675.22 (-52.47%)
icon for Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 11¢
155,243.3 shares
$13,195.68-$3,887.60 (-22.76%)
icon for 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 41¢
26,637.9 shares
$11,054.74$133.19 (1.22%)
icon for Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢
1,616,696.8 shares
$10,508.53-$229.57 (-2.14%)
icon for Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 65.8¢
24,389.8 shares
$8,170.59-$7,887.60 (-49.12%)
icon for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢
49,962.5 shares
$7,244.56-$36,225.36 (-83.33%)
icon for Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 49.8¢
12,796.4 shares
$7,228.67$860.86 (13.52%)
icon for Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

No 34¢
17,789.7 shares
$5,959.53-$88.95 (-1.47%)
icon for Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.1¢
106,708.3 shares
$5,175.35-$287.90 (-5.27%)
icon for Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 54.1¢
3,309.8 shares
$1,836.96$47.77 (2.67%)
icon for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?

No 50¢
1,272.0 shares
$1,263.73$627.73 (98.7%)