Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
96.3¢
99.6¢

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
86.9¢
93.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
95.1¢
96.5¢

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
77.2¢
84.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Iran leadership change by August 31?

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
61¢
64.5¢

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Iran leadership change by September 30?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
92¢
91.5¢

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
46.7¢
50.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
94.4¢
95.4¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
90¢
95.7¢
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
76.2¢
78.1¢

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
86.9¢
99.7¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Iran leadership change by December 31?