orzanovn
Joined Jan 2026·903 views
$1,391.50
Positions Value
$3,714.52
Biggest Win
286
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day
Current

Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes 16¢
5,000.0 shares$525.00-$274.89 (-34.37%)

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 54.6¢
2,500.0 shares54.6¢
18.5¢
$462.50-$902.75 (-66.12%)

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 54.6¢
2,500.0 shares$462.50-$902.75 (-66.12%)

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Yes 81.9¢
400.0 shares81.9¢
42¢
$168.00-$159.41 (-48.69%)

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Yes 81.9¢
400.0 shares$168.00-$159.41 (-48.69%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 64.6¢
600.0 shares64.6¢
21¢
$126.00-$261.42 (-67.48%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 64.6¢
600.0 shares$126.00-$261.42 (-67.48%)

Trump out as President by June 30?
Yes 7¢
5,000.0 shares$62.50-$287.50 (-82.14%)

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Yes 33¢
3,000.0 shares$34.50-$955.76 (-96.52%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 4.4¢
2,000.0 shares4.4¢
0.7¢
$13.00-$74.61 (-85.16%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 4.4¢
2,000.0 shares$13.00-$74.61 (-85.16%)