特朗普 普京 预测与赔率

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Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "特朗普、普京和泽伦斯基在2027年之前见过吗？". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "特朗普是否会在……之前再次与普京会面？," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "特朗普是否会在……之前再次与普京会面？," where the crowd is currently assigning a 11% chance to 2026年3月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket's accuracy.

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Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the "Rules" section on any individual market page like "特朗普是否会在……之前再次与普京会面？," to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.