Trader sentiment on silver (SI) futures hitting the $30/oz threshold by March 31 leans heavily toward yes at 85% implied probability on Polymarket, driven primarily by spot prices surging past $29.50 amid Fed rate cut expectations and robust industrial demand from solar panel production. COMEX SI front-month contracts reflect this momentum, up 8% YTD, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar index below 104 and gold's parallel rally above $2,150/oz. Key risks include Thursday's core PCE inflation data and potential equity selloffs pressuring risk assets; however, China's stimulus measures bolster green metal demand. Traders eye $30.50 resistance—breach could accelerate upside, while sub-$29 support risks pullback to $27.50 lows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,138,410 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
5%
↑ $100
3%
↑ 95美元
6%
↓ 70美元
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ 60美元
21%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$1,138,410 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
5%
↑ $100
3%
↑ 95美元
6%
↓ 70美元
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ 60美元
21%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on silver (SI) futures hitting the $30/oz threshold by March 31 leans heavily toward yes at 85% implied probability on Polymarket, driven primarily by spot prices surging past $29.50 amid Fed rate cut expectations and robust industrial demand from solar panel production. COMEX SI front-month contracts reflect this momentum, up 8% YTD, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar index below 104 and gold's parallel rally above $2,150/oz. Key risks include Thursday's core PCE inflation data and potential equity selloffs pressuring risk assets; however, China's stimulus measures bolster green metal demand. Traders eye $30.50 resistance—breach could accelerate upside, while sub-$29 support risks pullback to $27.50 lows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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