Trader consensus on Polymarket implies modest odds for silver (SI) surpassing the $32 threshold by March 31, 2025, driven primarily by persistent industrial demand from solar panels and EVs offsetting a strengthening U.S. dollar amid Fed rate cut expectations. Spot silver trades at $30.85, up 2.5% weekly, buoyed by gold's rally but pressured by rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. Key catalysts include February's CPI release on March 12 and FOMC meeting March 18-19, where dot plot revisions could signal fewer 2025 cuts, capping upside. Historical March seasonality shows average 1.2% gains, but COMEX inventories at 300Moz signal ample supply; watch $31.50 resistance for breakout potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,137,295 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
3%
↑ 95美元
6%
↓ 70美元
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ 60美元
20%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,137,295 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
3%
↑ 95美元
6%
↓ 70美元
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ 60美元
20%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies modest odds for silver (SI) surpassing the $32 threshold by March 31, 2025, driven primarily by persistent industrial demand from solar panels and EVs offsetting a strengthening U.S. dollar amid Fed rate cut expectations. Spot silver trades at $30.85, up 2.5% weekly, buoyed by gold's rally but pressured by rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. Key catalysts include February's CPI release on March 12 and FOMC meeting March 18-19, where dot plot revisions could signal fewer 2025 cuts, capping upside. Historical March seasonality shows average 1.2% gains, but COMEX inventories at 300Moz signal ample supply; watch $31.50 resistance for breakout potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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