Polymarket traders price a modest 35% implied probability for silver (SI) futures to hit $30 by March 31, tempered by spot prices hovering at $24.60/oz amid USD rebound and hawkish Fed signals. Recent 7% monthly rally stemmed from industrial demand surge—solar PV installations up 25% YoY per IEA—and ETF inflows topping 1,200 tonnes, but capped by ample mine supply from Peru and Mexico. Key catalysts ahead include March 20 FOMC dot plot for rate cut odds (now 65% June per CME FedWatch) and April 1 ISM manufacturing data; breach of $25 resistance in Comex SI could spur momentum, though $23.50 support guards downside amid gold correlation at 0.85.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,148,955 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
5%
↑ $100
3%
↑ 95美元
5%
↓ 70美元
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ 60美元
21%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,148,955 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
5%
↑ $100
3%
↑ 95美元
5%
↓ 70美元
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ 60美元
21%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a modest 35% implied probability for silver (SI) futures to hit $30 by March 31, tempered by spot prices hovering at $24.60/oz amid USD rebound and hawkish Fed signals. Recent 7% monthly rally stemmed from industrial demand surge—solar PV installations up 25% YoY per IEA—and ETF inflows topping 1,200 tonnes, but capped by ample mine supply from Peru and Mexico. Key catalysts ahead include March 20 FOMC dot plot for rate cut odds (now 65% June per CME FedWatch) and April 1 ISM manufacturing data; breach of $25 resistance in Comex SI could spur momentum, though $23.50 support guards downside amid gold correlation at 0.85.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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