Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest probability for silver (SI) hitting the target by March 31, propelled by robust industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid global green energy transitions, alongside a softer USD from Fed rate cut expectations. Spot silver hovers near $29.50, up over 10% year-to-date per COMEX data, but faces headwinds from ample mine supply and potential equity market volatility. Key catalysts include the March 7 nonfarm payrolls and March 19 FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation or robust jobs data could strengthen the dollar and pressure prices below $30 resistance. Market-implied odds reflect trader caution, balancing bullish supply deficits against macroeconomic risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,134,891 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
3%
↑ 95美元
8%
↓ 70美元
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ 60美元
21%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$1,134,891 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
3%
↑ 95美元
8%
↓ 70美元
100%
↓ $65
55%
↓ 60美元
21%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest probability for silver (SI) hitting the target by March 31, propelled by robust industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid global green energy transitions, alongside a softer USD from Fed rate cut expectations. Spot silver hovers near $29.50, up over 10% year-to-date per COMEX data, but faces headwinds from ample mine supply and potential equity market volatility. Key catalysts include the March 7 nonfarm payrolls and March 19 FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation or robust jobs data could strengthen the dollar and pressure prices below $30 resistance. Market-implied odds reflect trader caution, balancing bullish supply deficits against macroeconomic risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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