Polymarket traders assign just a 12% implied probability to GBP/USD closing above 1.30 on December 31, 2026, driven primarily by expectations of a widening interest rate differential favoring the USD. The pair currently trades near 1.294 amid the Bank of England's aggressive easing—markets price three cuts to 4.75% by year-end—versus the Fed's cautious stance holding rates at 5.25-5.50% into 2025. UK growth lags at 0.6% annualized Q2, hampered by fiscal tightening post-Labour election, while US resilience bolsters the dollar. Key catalysts ahead include BOE's August 1 decision and September UK CPI; a hawkish pivot could lift cable toward 1.32 resistance, but consensus favors sub-1.30 resolution given historical post-Brexit weakness.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于↑1.70
13%
↑1.60
13%
↑1.55
16%
↑1.50
29%
↑1.45
32%
↑1.40
54%
↓1.30
65%
↓1.25
57%
↓1.20
48%
↓1.10
37%
↓1.00
15%
$0.00 交易量
↑1.70
13%
↑1.60
13%
↑1.55
16%
↑1.50
29%
↑1.45
32%
↑1.40
54%
↓1.30
65%
↓1.25
57%
↓1.20
48%
↓1.10
37%
↓1.00
15%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
市场开放时间: Feb 6, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign just a 12% implied probability to GBP/USD closing above 1.30 on December 31, 2026, driven primarily by expectations of a widening interest rate differential favoring the USD. The pair currently trades near 1.294 amid the Bank of England's aggressive easing—markets price three cuts to 4.75% by year-end—versus the Fed's cautious stance holding rates at 5.25-5.50% into 2025. UK growth lags at 0.6% annualized Q2, hampered by fiscal tightening post-Labour election, while US resilience bolsters the dollar. Key catalysts ahead include BOE's August 1 decision and September UK CPI; a hawkish pivot could lift cable toward 1.32 resistance, but consensus favors sub-1.30 resolution given historical post-Brexit weakness.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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