Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between Project Hail Mary grossing under $35 million (45.5%) and $35-38 million (44.0%) for its third weekend, reflecting uncertainty over the sci-fi hit's hold after an exceptional -33% drop to $54 million in weekend two. Ryan Gosling's stellar performance and glowing audience scores have fueled remarkable word-of-mouth, pushing domestic totals past $177 million amid Easter holiday boosts—Good Friday and spring breaks could lift attendance 20-30% above norms. However, competition from holdovers like Hoppers and potential premium large format screen losses cap upside, with higher tiers above $38 million (13%) pricing in slim upset potential from viral momentum or walkups. Final Friday tracking and holiday turnout will decide the deadlock.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于“Project Hail Mary”第三周末票房
“Project Hail Mary”第三周末票房
低于3500万 66%
3500万-3800万 32%
3800万-4100万 7%
>4100万 7%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
低于3500万
46%
3500万-3800万
44%
3800万-4100万
7%
>4100万
7%
低于3500万 66%
3500万-3800万 32%
3800万-4100万 7%
>4100万 7%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
低于3500万
$557 交易量
46%
3500万-3800万
$243 交易量
44%
3800万-4100万
$211 交易量
7%
>4100万
$427 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between Project Hail Mary grossing under $35 million (45.5%) and $35-38 million (44.0%) for its third weekend, reflecting uncertainty over the sci-fi hit's hold after an exceptional -33% drop to $54 million in weekend two. Ryan Gosling's stellar performance and glowing audience scores have fueled remarkable word-of-mouth, pushing domestic totals past $177 million amid Easter holiday boosts—Good Friday and spring breaks could lift attendance 20-30% above norms. However, competition from holdovers like Hoppers and potential premium large format screen losses cap upside, with higher tiers above $38 million (13%) pricing in slim upset potential from viral momentum or walkups. Final Friday tracking and holiday turnout will decide the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$1,439结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between Project Hail Mary grossing under $35 million (45.5%) and $35-38 million (44.0%) for its third weekend, reflecting uncertainty over the sci-fi hit's hold after an exceptional -33% drop to $54 million in weekend two. Ryan Gosling's stellar performance and glowing audience scores have fueled remarkable word-of-mouth, pushing domestic totals past $177 million amid Easter holiday boosts—Good Friday and spring breaks could lift attendance 20-30% above norms. However, competition from holdovers like Hoppers and potential premium large format screen losses cap upside, with higher tiers above $38 million (13%) pricing in slim upset potential from viral momentum or walkups. Final Friday tracking and holiday turnout will decide the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$1,439结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between Project Hail Mary grossing under $35 million (45.5%) and $35-38 million (44.0%) for its third weekend, reflecting uncertainty over the sci-fi hit's hold after an exceptional -33% drop to $54 million in weekend two. Ryan Gosling's stellar performance and glowing audience scores have fueled remarkable word-of-mouth, pushing domestic totals past $177 million amid Easter holiday boosts—Good Friday and spring breaks could lift attendance 20-30% above norms. However, competition from holdovers like Hoppers and potential premium large format screen losses cap upside, with higher tiers above $38 million (13%) pricing in slim upset potential from viral momentum or walkups. Final Friday tracking and holiday turnout will decide the deadlock.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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