FlightAware data for March 31, 2026, records just 246 total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States—well below the 500 threshold—driving trader consensus to 95% on "No" as the aviation system stabilizes post-mid-March winter storms that spiked disruptions to over 4,800 daily cancellations around March 16. Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial government shutdown (now day 45, with 366 resignations) have fueled thousands of delays nationwide, including 2,800+ that day, but not mass cancellations. Localized factors like FAA-imposed arrival limits at San Francisco (SFO) due to runway repaving and wind impacts at New York-area airports contributed to delays at hubs such as LaGuardia (85 cancellations) and Chicago O'Hare (11), yet the national total remains low. Barring rare pre-noon data revisions on April 1, resolution appears certain for "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$852 交易量
$852 交易量
2026-03-31
$852 交易量
$852 交易量
2026-03-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".FlightAware data for March 31, 2026, records just 246 total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States—well below the 500 threshold—driving trader consensus to 95% on "No" as the aviation system stabilizes post-mid-March winter storms that spiked disruptions to over 4,800 daily cancellations around March 16. Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial government shutdown (now day 45, with 366 resignations) have fueled thousands of delays nationwide, including 2,800+ that day, but not mass cancellations. Localized factors like FAA-imposed arrival limits at San Francisco (SFO) due to runway repaving and wind impacts at New York-area airports contributed to delays at hubs such as LaGuardia (85 cancellations) and Chicago O'Hare (11), yet the national total remains low. Barring rare pre-noon data revisions on April 1, resolution appears certain for "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$852结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".FlightAware data for March 31, 2026, records just 246 total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States—well below the 500 threshold—driving trader consensus to 95% on "No" as the aviation system stabilizes post-mid-March winter storms that spiked disruptions to over 4,800 daily cancellations around March 16. Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial government shutdown (now day 45, with 366 resignations) have fueled thousands of delays nationwide, including 2,800+ that day, but not mass cancellations. Localized factors like FAA-imposed arrival limits at San Francisco (SFO) due to runway repaving and wind impacts at New York-area airports contributed to delays at hubs such as LaGuardia (85 cancellations) and Chicago O'Hare (11), yet the national total remains low. Barring rare pre-noon data revisions on April 1, resolution appears certain for "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$852结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFlightAware data for March 31, 2026, records just 246 total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States—well below the 500 threshold—driving trader consensus to 95% on "No" as the aviation system stabilizes post-mid-March winter storms that spiked disruptions to over 4,800 daily cancellations around March 16. Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial government shutdown (now day 45, with 366 resignations) have fueled thousands of delays nationwide, including 2,800+ that day, but not mass cancellations. Localized factors like FAA-imposed arrival limits at San Francisco (SFO) due to runway repaving and wind impacts at New York-area airports contributed to delays at hubs such as LaGuardia (85 cancellations) and Chicago O'Hare (11), yet the national total remains low. Barring rare pre-noon data revisions on April 1, resolution appears certain for "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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