Trader consensus prices fewer than 6,000 U.S. flight delays on March 29 at 100%, reflecting finalized FlightAware data showing approximately 5,400 flights delayed 15+ minutes within, into, or out of the United States—well below the threshold. This commanding position stems from the absence of nationwide disruptions like the major storms and DHS shutdown strains that spiked delays earlier in March, such as over 6,000 on March 26; localized issues at LaGuardia and South Florida weather caused some impacts but no systemic surge, amid high TSA screening of 2.76 million passengers. Scenarios challenging this include rare FlightAware data revisions or alternative FAA OPSNET counts differing significantly, though preliminary figures and lack of escalation signals make such shifts improbable ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 交易量
$22,385 交易量
2026-03-27
6,500-7,000
<1%
6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 交易量
$22,385 交易量
2026-03-27
6,500-7,000
$1,574 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus prices fewer than 6,000 U.S. flight delays on March 29 at 100%, reflecting finalized FlightAware data showing approximately 5,400 flights delayed 15+ minutes within, into, or out of the United States—well below the threshold. This commanding position stems from the absence of nationwide disruptions like the major storms and DHS shutdown strains that spiked delays earlier in March, such as over 6,000 on March 26; localized issues at LaGuardia and South Florida weather caused some impacts but no systemic surge, amid high TSA screening of 2.76 million passengers. Scenarios challenging this include rare FlightAware data revisions or alternative FAA OPSNET counts differing significantly, though preliminary figures and lack of escalation signals make such shifts improbable ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$22,385结束日期
2026-03-29市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus prices fewer than 6,000 U.S. flight delays on March 29 at 100%, reflecting finalized FlightAware data showing approximately 5,400 flights delayed 15+ minutes within, into, or out of the United States—well below the threshold. This commanding position stems from the absence of nationwide disruptions like the major storms and DHS shutdown strains that spiked delays earlier in March, such as over 6,000 on March 26; localized issues at LaGuardia and South Florida weather caused some impacts but no systemic surge, amid high TSA screening of 2.76 million passengers. Scenarios challenging this include rare FlightAware data revisions or alternative FAA OPSNET counts differing significantly, though preliminary figures and lack of escalation signals make such shifts improbable ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$22,385结束日期
2026-03-29市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
Trader consensus prices fewer than 6,000 U.S. flight delays on March 29 at 100%, reflecting finalized FlightAware data showing approximately 5,400 flights delayed 15+ minutes within, into, or out of the United States—well below the threshold. This commanding position stems from the absence of nationwide disruptions like the major storms and DHS shutdown strains that spiked delays earlier in March, such as over 6,000 on March 26; localized issues at LaGuardia and South Florida weather caused some impacts but no systemic surge, amid high TSA screening of 2.76 million passengers. Scenarios challenging this include rare FlightAware data revisions or alternative FAA OPSNET counts differing significantly, though preliminary figures and lack of escalation signals make such shifts improbable ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题