Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 13°C, primarily at central stations like Chiyoda, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as the market reflects verified daily maximum data. This aligns with cool spring conditions influenced by lingering cold air masses from the Asian continent and weak southerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms where March highs average 12–15°C amid variable frontal systems. Ensemble forecast models from leading agencies had converged on this range days prior, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a post-verification data revision due to rare instrument malfunction or station-specific anomalies, though JMA's rigorous quality controls make this improbable; resolution awaits final official report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月25日东京气温最高?
3月25日东京气温最高?
13°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
13°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 13°C, primarily at central stations like Chiyoda, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as the market reflects verified daily maximum data. This aligns with cool spring conditions influenced by lingering cold air masses from the Asian continent and weak southerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms where March highs average 12–15°C amid variable frontal systems. Ensemble forecast models from leading agencies had converged on this range days prior, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a post-verification data revision due to rare instrument malfunction or station-specific anomalies, though JMA's rigorous quality controls make this improbable; resolution awaits final official report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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