Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau (CWB) latest guidance for March 29, 2026, projects Taipei's daytime high at 21–22°C amid mostly cloudy skies with 30% chance of occasional showers, suppressing solar insolation and capping surface temperatures at Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport—the NOAA-monitored resolution site. Observed conditions align, with afternoon readings hovering around 21–22°C due to a lingering cool air mass from recent frontal activity, consistent with late-March climatological norms of 21–23°C averages. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 22°C or below reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with model outputs showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges include brief clearing for transient heating to 23°C, though low probability as evening sets in and cloud persistence dominates; final NOAA data expected post-midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$271,989 交易量
$271,989 交易量
22°C or below
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$271,989 交易量
$271,989 交易量
22°C or below
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau (CWB) latest guidance for March 29, 2026, projects Taipei's daytime high at 21–22°C amid mostly cloudy skies with 30% chance of occasional showers, suppressing solar insolation and capping surface temperatures at Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport—the NOAA-monitored resolution site. Observed conditions align, with afternoon readings hovering around 21–22°C due to a lingering cool air mass from recent frontal activity, consistent with late-March climatological norms of 21–23°C averages. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 22°C or below reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with model outputs showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges include brief clearing for transient heating to 23°C, though low probability as evening sets in and cloud persistence dominates; final NOAA data expected post-midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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