Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on March 26 falling in the 52-53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models including the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) and GFS, which converge on persistent marine layer clouds and cool onshore flow capping highs around 52°F amid seasonal Pacific Northwest patterns. Overnight lows in the upper 40s°F and light winds under 10 mph further limit diurnal warming, aligning with climatological averages for late March (typically 54-56°F highs) but tempered by a recent upper-level trough. Realistic challenges include an unexpected breakdown of the marine stratus deck or ridge amplification, potentially boosting temps 3-5°F, though model ensembles show low confidence in such deviations ahead of daily 12Z updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月26日西雅图的最高温度？
3月26日西雅图的最高温度？
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F或以下 <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$107,980 交易量
$107,980 交易量
Mar 26, 2026
43°F或以下
否
44-45°F
否
46-47°F
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
是
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62°F或更高
否
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F或以下 <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$107,980 交易量
$107,980 交易量
Mar 26, 2026
43°F或以下
$10,446 交易量
否
44-45°F
$5,951 交易量
否
46-47°F
$9,554 交易量
否
48-49°F
$16,035 交易量
否
50-51°F
$12,813 交易量
否
52-53°F
$16,569 交易量
是
54-55°F
$12,051 交易量
否
56-57°F
$10,592 交易量
否
58-59°F
$8,105 交易量
否
60-61°F
$2,881 交易量
否
62°F或更高
$2,982 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on March 26 falling in the 52-53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models including the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) and GFS, which converge on persistent marine layer clouds and cool onshore flow capping highs around 52°F amid seasonal Pacific Northwest patterns. Overnight lows in the upper 40s°F and light winds under 10 mph further limit diurnal warming, aligning with climatological averages for late March (typically 54-56°F highs) but tempered by a recent upper-level trough. Realistic challenges include an unexpected breakdown of the marine stratus deck or ridge amplification, potentially boosting temps 3-5°F, though model ensembles show low confidence in such deviations ahead of daily 12Z updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$107,980结束日期
Mar 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on March 26 falling in the 52-53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models including the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) and GFS, which converge on persistent marine layer clouds and cool onshore flow capping highs around 52°F amid seasonal Pacific Northwest patterns. Overnight lows in the upper 40s°F and light winds under 10 mph further limit diurnal warming, aligning with climatological averages for late March (typically 54-56°F highs) but tempered by a recent upper-level trough. Realistic challenges include an unexpected breakdown of the marine stratus deck or ridge amplification, potentially boosting temps 3-5°F, though model ensembles show low confidence in such deviations ahead of daily 12Z updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$107,980结束日期
Mar 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on March 26 falling in the 52-53°F range, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models including the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) and GFS, which converge on persistent marine layer clouds and cool onshore flow capping highs around 52°F amid seasonal Pacific Northwest patterns. Overnight lows in the upper 40s°F and light winds under 10 mph further limit diurnal warming, aligning with climatological averages for late March (typically 54-56°F highs) but tempered by a recent upper-level trough. Realistic challenges include an unexpected breakdown of the marine stratus deck or ridge amplification, potentially boosting temps 3-5°F, though model ensembles show low confidence in such deviations ahead of daily 12Z updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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