Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42.5% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature reaching 30°C on March 30, driven by the latest CPTEC and INMET numerical weather prediction models forecasting daytime maxima near 29–30°C amid clear skies, light southerly winds, and high-pressure subsidence limiting cloud cover and enhancing solar heating. This positions 29°C (28.5%) and 28°C (18.0%) as strong contenders, aligning with March climatological averages of 27–28°C but elevated by recent warm spell patterns in Southeast Brazil, including highs above 30°C earlier in the month. INMET's weekly outlook through March 30 notes isolated showers but predominantly dry conditions favoring peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s. Real-time observations from official stations like Congonhas Airport will provide final clarity as afternoon convection risks could cap intensities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月30日圣保罗的最高温度?
3月30日圣保罗的最高温度?
30°C 44%
29°C 33%
28°C 17%
31°C 5%
$16,341 交易量
$16,341 交易量
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
17%
29°C
33%
30°C
44%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
1%
30°C 44%
29°C 33%
28°C 17%
31°C 5%
$16,341 交易量
$16,341 交易量
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
17%
29°C
33%
30°C
44%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42.5% implied probability for São Paulo's highest temperature reaching 30°C on March 30, driven by the latest CPTEC and INMET numerical weather prediction models forecasting daytime maxima near 29–30°C amid clear skies, light southerly winds, and high-pressure subsidence limiting cloud cover and enhancing solar heating. This positions 29°C (28.5%) and 28°C (18.0%) as strong contenders, aligning with March climatological averages of 27–28°C but elevated by recent warm spell patterns in Southeast Brazil, including highs above 30°C earlier in the month. INMET's weekly outlook through March 30 notes isolated showers but predominantly dry conditions favoring peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s. Real-time observations from official stations like Congonhas Airport will provide final clarity as afternoon convection risks could cap intensities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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