National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park, the official NYC measurement site, pinpoint a high temperature near 43°F today, driving trader consensus toward the 42-43°F outcome at 65% implied probability. This reflects a post-frontal cold air mass from a recent low-pressure system that swept through the Northeast yesterday, ushering in Arctic-sourced northerly winds and building high pressure aloft for mostly sunny skies. Model ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre show tight agreement within 2-3°F, with wind chills in the 20s-30s limiting daytime warming despite 11+ hours of daylight. Below-normal temps contrast March climatological averages near 52°F; traders price minor upside risk to 44-45°F from potential radiational heating, while extremes remain unlikely absent model busts. Hourly observations through sunset will sharpen resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月28日纽约市最高气温?
3月28日纽约市最高气温?
42-43°F 66%
44-45°F 27%
46-47°F 5.2%
48-49°F 1.6%
$120,337 交易量
$120,337 交易量
36-37°F
<1%
42-43°F
66%
44-45°F
27%
46-47°F
5%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
<1%
54°F或更高
<1%
42-43°F 66%
44-45°F 27%
46-47°F 5.2%
48-49°F 1.6%
$120,337 交易量
$120,337 交易量
36-37°F
<1%
42-43°F
66%
44-45°F
27%
46-47°F
5%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
<1%
54°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park, the official NYC measurement site, pinpoint a high temperature near 43°F today, driving trader consensus toward the 42-43°F outcome at 65% implied probability. This reflects a post-frontal cold air mass from a recent low-pressure system that swept through the Northeast yesterday, ushering in Arctic-sourced northerly winds and building high pressure aloft for mostly sunny skies. Model ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre show tight agreement within 2-3°F, with wind chills in the 20s-30s limiting daytime warming despite 11+ hours of daylight. Below-normal temps contrast March climatological averages near 52°F; traders price minor upside risk to 44-45°F from potential radiational heating, while extremes remain unlikely absent model busts. Hourly observations through sunset will sharpen resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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