Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and global model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON project Munich's highest temperature on March 28 clustering around 8–9°C at the airport station, driving trader consensus with 9°C at 47% implied probability edging 8°C at 37.5%. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover: GFS ensembles favor partial clearing for enhanced solar insolation yielding 9°C peaks near 14–16Z, while ICON emphasizes persistent low clouds capping at 8°C, consistent with recent light showers and cool NW flows. Yesterday's accurate 7°C convergence bolsters model reliability amid spring volatility; monitor DWD's 12Z update and real-time observations for resolution-defining shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月28日慕尼黑最高温度?
3月28日慕尼黑最高温度?
9°C 47%
8°C 37%
10°C 8%
7°C 7.4%
$44,412 交易量
$44,412 交易量
5°C或以下
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
7%
8°C
37%
9°C
47%
10°C
8%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C或更高
<1%
9°C 47%
8°C 37%
10°C 8%
7°C 7.4%
$44,412 交易量
$44,412 交易量
5°C或以下
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
7%
8°C
37%
9°C
47%
10°C
8%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and global model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON project Munich's highest temperature on March 28 clustering around 8–9°C at the airport station, driving trader consensus with 9°C at 47% implied probability edging 8°C at 37.5%. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover: GFS ensembles favor partial clearing for enhanced solar insolation yielding 9°C peaks near 14–16Z, while ICON emphasizes persistent low clouds capping at 8°C, consistent with recent light showers and cool NW flows. Yesterday's accurate 7°C convergence bolsters model reliability amid spring volatility; monitor DWD's 12Z update and real-time observations for resolution-defining shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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