Traders overwhelmingly back a Miami high of 76-77°F on March 20, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models showing a stable cool front lingering over South Florida, capping temperatures under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Ensemble predictions from GFS and ECMWF align closely, projecting peaks around 77°F based on verified soundings and sea surface temperatures near 76°F. Historical March 20 highs average 79°F, but current upper-air patterns suppress heat advection. Realistic challenges include an unexpected ridge breakdown allowing subtropical warmth to surge in, or underforecast marine layer burn-off boosting peaks to 80°F+, though low-probability model outliers show minimal support for such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月20日迈阿密气温最高?
3月20日迈阿密气温最高?
76-77°F 99.9%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$100,809 交易量
$100,809 交易量
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 99.9%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$100,809 交易量
$100,809 交易量
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back a Miami high of 76-77°F on March 20, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models showing a stable cool front lingering over South Florida, capping temperatures under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Ensemble predictions from GFS and ECMWF align closely, projecting peaks around 77°F based on verified soundings and sea surface temperatures near 76°F. Historical March 20 highs average 79°F, but current upper-air patterns suppress heat advection. Realistic challenges include an unexpected ridge breakdown allowing subtropical warmth to surge in, or underforecast marine layer burn-off boosting peaks to 80°F+, though low-probability model outliers show minimal support for such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题