Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C or below at 37% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 3, driven by recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs around 22-26°C under persistent northerly winds and partly cloudy skies. March 2026 ended with variable conditions, including cool mornings near 8°C and highs averaging 25°C amid lingering frontal influences from recent tormentas invernales, suppressing potential heat. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's dry-season climatology typically sees April highs near 26°C, but current steering patterns favor moderation. Watch SMN daily updates and new model runs through April 1 for shifts in intensification or clearing, as short-term forecast uncertainty remains high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 3?
21°C or below 35%
26°C 24%
27°C 22%
25°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
21°C or below
35%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
17%
25°C
21%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
20%
21°C or below 35%
26°C 24%
27°C 22%
25°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
21°C or below
$0 交易量
35%
22°C
$0 交易量
18%
23°C
$0 交易量
18%
24°C
$0 交易量
17%
25°C
$0 交易量
21%
26°C
$0 交易量
24%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$0 交易量
21%
29°C
$0 交易量
17%
30°C
$0 交易量
17%
31°C or higher
$5 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C or below at 37% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 3, driven by recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs around 22-26°C under persistent northerly winds and partly cloudy skies. March 2026 ended with variable conditions, including cool mornings near 8°C and highs averaging 25°C amid lingering frontal influences from recent tormentas invernales, suppressing potential heat. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's dry-season climatology typically sees April highs near 26°C, but current steering patterns favor moderation. Watch SMN daily updates and new model runs through April 1 for shifts in intensification or clearing, as short-term forecast uncertainty remains high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
Apr 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C or below at 37% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 3, driven by recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs around 22-26°C under persistent northerly winds and partly cloudy skies. March 2026 ended with variable conditions, including cool mornings near 8°C and highs averaging 25°C amid lingering frontal influences from recent tormentas invernales, suppressing potential heat. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's dry-season climatology typically sees April highs near 26°C, but current steering patterns favor moderation. Watch SMN daily updates and new model runs through April 1 for shifts in intensification or clearing, as short-term forecast uncertainty remains high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5结束日期
Apr 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 21°C or below at 37% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 3, driven by recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs around 22-26°C under persistent northerly winds and partly cloudy skies. March 2026 ended with variable conditions, including cool mornings near 8°C and highs averaging 25°C amid lingering frontal influences from recent tormentas invernales, suppressing potential heat. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's dry-season climatology typically sees April highs near 26°C, but current steering patterns favor moderation. Watch SMN daily updates and new model runs through April 1 for shifts in intensification or clearing, as short-term forecast uncertainty remains high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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